The Michigan Wolverines and Michigan State Spartans will add another chapter to their storied history at 3:30 p.m. ET on Sunday when the arch-rivals meet in the 2019 Big Ten Tournament championship game. Only once before have the teams met in the conference title game, when the Spartans beat the Wolverines, 69-55, in 2014.
And given that the teams have never played each other in NCAA Tournament, no matchup in series history arguably has had more riding on it than this one. Michigan State (27-6) swept both games against Michigan this season, including a 75-63 decision eight days ago to claim a share of the Big Ten regular-season title.
After opening as a 1-point underdog, Michigan is now favored by 1 in the latest Michigan vs. Michigan State odds, while the over-under for total points scored is 131. Before making any Michigan State vs. Michigan picks of your own, be sure to see the top 2019 Big Ten Tournament predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, has raked in the winnings for those following its picks. During the past two years, the SportsLine Projection Model has returned more than $4,000 to $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks. It also entered Conference Championship Week on a strong 11-5 run on all top-rated college basketball picks. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now the model has honed in on Michigan vs. Michigan State. We can tell you it is leaning over, and it has an extremely strong against-the-spread pick that cashes in more than 60 percent of simulations. That one is available only at SportsLine.
The model has considered that the Wolverines have seemed to regain their offensive touch after their loss to the Spartans eight days ago. In the team’s tournament victories against Iowa and Minnesota, Michigan found the open man for easy shots. The Wolverines shot a combined 48.4 percent in those games and assisted on 45 of 60 buckets.
But just because the Maize and Blue have been hot in Chicago doesn’t guarantee that the Wolverines will cover the Michigan vs. Michigan State spread.
Michigan State, in typical Tom Izzo fashion, is one of the top defensive and rebounding teams in the country. The Spartans rank third in the nation in field-goal defense (37.8 percent) and sixth in rebounding margin.
In the first matchup between the teams on Feb. 24, Michigan State smothered the Wolverines’ normally potent offensive attack and limited them to 39.7 percent shooting. Michigan shot the ball slightly better (40.3 percent) in the second matchup, but the Spartans dominated the boards, out-rebounding the Wolverines, 46-20.
So who wins Michigan State vs. Michigan? And which side of the spread cashes in more than 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Michigan State vs. Michigan spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that’s up more than $4,000 on top-rated college basketball picks the past two seasons.
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